
Reuters on March 27, citing a data analysis report from the University of Washington School of Medicine, predicted that the number of patients hospitalized across the United States could peak at the second week of April. of some states may be later.
According to the report, the United States will continue to record corona virus deaths until July, but the number of deaths is likely to drop to about 10 a day by June.
Using data from governments, hospitals and other sources, the report predicts that the number of Covid-19 deaths in the United States may vary significantly, ranging from as low as 38,000 to high. about 162,000 cases.
According to Dr. Christopher Murray, director of the Institute of Health Measurement and Evaluation at the University of Washington, the change in the number of deaths in the US depends in part on the different rates of virus infection in different regions. Experts are also having difficulty explaining this issue.
The prolonged duration of the epidemic means that there is a need for longer “social isolation” measures than originally anticipated. However, Mr Murray said the US could eventually loosen up restrictive measures if the testing and isolation work were carried out more effectively.
The report also highlights the pressures placed on hospitals in the United States. At the peak of the epidemic, the number of patients could exceed the number of existing patient beds (64,000 beds) and may require as many as 20,000 ventilators. At the moment, the areas hardest hit by the Covid-19 epidemic in the US, such as New York City, are suffering from a shortage of ventilators.
According to Murray, the virus is spreading more slowly in California, meaning that the number of infections in the state can peak in April. Meanwhile, the states of Louisiana and Georgia are expected to witness the rate. High levels of infection and local health systems could be extremely burdensome.
The report also emphasizes strict adherence to preventive measures put forward by local, state and federal governments.
"The path of the epidemic will change, especially worse if people ignore social isolation measures or ignore other prevention measures," Mr Murray said.
The report comes as the number of infections and deaths from Covid-19 in the United States continues to increase. The World Health Organization (WHO) predicts the United States may become the new epidemic of the world.
The US has so far recorded 1,701 deaths from the new strain of corona virus. Meanwhile, the number of Covid-19 cases in the country also increased to 104,205 cases.
The United States is currently the country with the most Covid-19 cases in the world, followed by Italy with 86,498 cases and China 81,340 cases.
While New York continues to be the strongest outbreak state in the United States, the situation in many other localities has also started to worsen with soaring cases in cities like New Orleans, Chicago and Detroit.